Dundalk
2 - 4
Arsenal

Flores (22'), Hoare (85')
Boyle (10'), Mountney (61'), Cleary (70'), Shields (77'), Kelly (82')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Nketiah (12'), Elneny (18'), Willock (67'), Balogun (80')
Soares (28'), Willock (30')

Build‑up

The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 47.25%. A win for Dundalk had a probability of 26.9% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.22%) and 0-2 (8.65%). The likeliest Dundalk win was 1-0 (8.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.28%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Arsenal would win this match.

Result
Dundalk	Draw	Arsenal
26.9%	25.85%	47.25%

Both teams to score 50.92%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.3%

52.7%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.66%

74.34%

Dundalk Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.54%

34.46%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.82%

71.18%

Arsenal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.7%

22.3%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.24%

55.76%

Score Analysis

Dundalk 26.9%

Arsenal 47.25%

Draw 25.84%

Dundalk	Draw	Arsenal
1-0 @ 8.19% 2-1 @ 6.54% 2-0 @ 4.36% 3-1 @ 2.32% 3-2 @ 1.74% 3-0 @ 1.55% Other @ 2.2% Total : 26.9%	1-1 @ 12.28% 0-0 @ 7.69% 2-2 @ 4.91% Other @ 0.97% Total : 25.84%	0-1 @ 11.53% 1-2 @ 9.22% 0-2 @ 8.65% 1-3 @ 4.61% 0-3 @ 4.33% 2-3 @ 2.46% 1-4 @ 1.73% 0-4 @ 1.62% 2-4 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.18% Total : 47.25%