Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rapid Vienna win with a probability of 51.54%. A win for Dundalk had a probability of 25.97% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rapid Vienna win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.97%) and 2-0 (7.51%). The likeliest Dundalk win was 1-2 (6.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.2%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rapid Vienna would win this match.

Result
Rapid Vienna	Draw	Dundalk
51.54%	22.49%	25.97%

Both teams to score 61.19%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.2%

38.8%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.89%

61.11%

Rapid Vienna Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.78%

15.23%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.12%

43.88%

Dundalk Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.17%

27.83%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.58%

63.42%

Score Analysis

Rapid Vienna 51.54%

Dundalk 25.97%

Draw 22.49%

Rapid Vienna	Draw	Dundalk
2-1 @ 9.6% 1-0 @ 7.97% 2-0 @ 7.51% 3-1 @ 6.02% 3-0 @ 4.71% 3-2 @ 3.85% 4-1 @ 2.84% 4-0 @ 2.22% 4-2 @ 1.81% 5-1 @ 1.07% Other @ 3.94% Total : 51.54%	1-1 @ 10.2% 2-2 @ 6.14% 0-0 @ 4.24% 3-3 @ 1.64% Other @ 0.27% Total : 22.49%	1-2 @ 6.52% 0-1 @ 5.42% 0-2 @ 3.47% 1-3 @ 2.78% 2-3 @ 2.62% 0-3 @ 1.48% Other @ 3.69% Total : 25.97%