Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rapid Vienna win with a probability of 51.54%. A win for Dundalk had a probability of 25.97% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rapid Vienna win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.97%) and 2-0 (7.51%). The likeliest Dundalk win was 1-2 (6.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.2%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rapid Vienna would win this match.
