Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shelbourne win with a probability of 46.23%. A win for Dundalk had a probability of 28.65% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shelbourne win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.28%) and 2-0 (7.92%). The likeliest Dundalk win was 0-1 (7.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Shelbourne in this match.
Result | ||
Shelbourne | Draw | Dundalk |
46.23% ( 0.03) | 25.12% ( 0) | 28.65% ( -0.04) |
Both teams to score 54.46% ( -0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.32% ( -0.03) | 48.68% ( 0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.21% ( -0.03) | 70.79% ( 0.02) |
Shelbourne Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.92% | 21.08% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.1% ( 0) | 53.9% ( -0.01) |
Dundalk Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69% ( -0.04) | 31% ( 0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.69% ( -0.05) | 67.3% ( 0.04) |
Score Analysis |
Shelbourne | Draw | Dundalk |
1-0 @ 10.17% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.28% ( 0) 2-0 @ 7.92% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 4.81% ( 0) 3-0 @ 4.11% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.82% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.87% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.6% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.1% ( -0) Other @ 2.55% Total : 46.23% | 1-1 @ 11.91% 0-0 @ 6.53% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.43% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.1% ( -0) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.11% | 0-1 @ 7.65% 1-2 @ 6.98% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 4.48% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.72% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.12% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.75% ( -0) Other @ 2.94% Total : 28.65% |
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