SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundalk win with a probability of 55.17%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Drogheda United had a probability of 22.12%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dundalk win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.82%) and 2-0 (9.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.67%), while for a Drogheda United win it was 1-2 (5.8%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dundalk would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Dundalk | Draw | Drogheda United |
55.17% ( 0.01) | 22.7% ( -0) | 22.12% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 55.84% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.22% ( -0.02) | 43.78% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.83% ( -0.02) | 66.17% ( 0.01) |
| Dundalk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.25% ( -0) | 15.75% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.14% ( -0) | 44.86% ( -0) |
| Drogheda United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.28% ( -0.02) | 33.72% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.62% ( -0.02) | 70.38% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dundalk | Draw | Drogheda United |
| 2-1 @ 9.86% ( 0) 1-0 @ 9.82% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 9.07% ( 0)3-1 @ 6.08% 3-0 @ 5.59% ( 0)3-2 @ 3.3% ( -0)4-1 @ 2.81% 4-0 @ 2.58% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.53% ( -0)5-1 @ 1.04% 5-0 @ 0.96% ( 0)Other @ 2.55% Total : 55.17% | 1-1 @ 10.67% 2-2 @ 5.36% ( -0)0-0 @ 5.31% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.2% ( -0)Other @ 0.16% Total : 22.7% | 1-2 @ 5.8% ( -0) 0-1 @ 5.77% 0-2 @ 3.14% ( -0)1-3 @ 2.1% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.94% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.14% ( -0)Other @ 2.23% Total : 22.12% |
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