SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sligo Rovers win with a probability of 43.32%. A win for Dundalk had a probability of 30.14% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sligo Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.83%) and 2-0 (7.87%). The likeliest Dundalk win was 0-1 (9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.6%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sligo Rovers | Draw | Dundalk |
43.32% ( 0.2) | 26.54% ( -0.29) | 30.14% ( 0.09) |
| Both teams to score 50.84% ( 0.92) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.23% ( 1.16) | 53.77% ( -1.15) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.75% ( 0.97) | 75.25% ( -0.96) |
| Sligo Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.37% ( 0.62) | 24.63% ( -0.62) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.86% ( 0.86) | 59.14% ( -0.86) |
| Dundalk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.46% ( 0.67) | 32.54% ( -0.66) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.92% ( 0.74) | 69.08% ( -0.74) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sligo Rovers | Draw | Dundalk |
| 1-0 @ 11.23% ( -0.31) 2-1 @ 8.83% ( 0.08)2-0 @ 7.87% ( -0.07)3-1 @ 4.13% ( 0.11)3-0 @ 3.68% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 2.32% ( 0.1)4-1 @ 1.45% ( 0.06)4-0 @ 1.29% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.54% Total : 43.32% | 1-1 @ 12.6% ( -0.12) 0-0 @ 8.02% ( -0.37)2-2 @ 4.96% ( 0.13)Other @ 0.96% Total : 26.53% | 0-1 @ 9% ( -0.24) 1-2 @ 7.08% ( 0.06)0-2 @ 5.05% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 2.65% ( 0.07)0-3 @ 1.89% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.86% ( 0.08)Other @ 2.62% Total : 30.14% |
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