SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bohemians win with a probability of 37.5%. A win for Dundalk had a probability of 36.91% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bohemians win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.34%) and 0-2 (6.11%). The likeliest Dundalk win was 1-0 (8.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.11%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Dundalk | Draw | Bohemians |
36.91% ( -0.38) | 25.59% ( 0.23) | 37.5% ( 0.16) |
| Both teams to score 55.67% ( -0.81) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.65% ( -1.03) | 48.34% ( 1.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.51% ( -0.95) | 70.48% ( 0.94) |
| Dundalk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.44% ( -0.69) | 25.55% ( 0.69) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.58% ( -0.95) | 60.41% ( 0.95) |
| Bohemians Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.77% ( -0.39) | 25.22% ( 0.39) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.03% ( -0.54) | 59.96% ( 0.53) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dundalk | Draw | Bohemians |
| 1-0 @ 8.79% ( 0.2) 2-1 @ 8.26% ( -0.07)2-0 @ 6% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 3.76% ( -0.11)3-0 @ 2.73% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 2.59% ( -0.1)4-1 @ 1.28% ( -0.06)4-0 @ 0.93% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.56% Total : 36.91% | 1-1 @ 12.11% ( 0.14) 0-0 @ 6.45% ( 0.27)2-2 @ 5.69% ( -0.11)3-3 @ 1.19% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.59% | 0-1 @ 8.88% ( 0.28) 1-2 @ 8.34% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 6.11% ( 0.12)1-3 @ 3.83% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 2.81% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 2.61% ( -0.08)1-4 @ 1.32% ( -0.03)0-4 @ 0.97% ( -0)Other @ 2.63% Total : 37.5% |
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