SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundalk win with a probability of 78.55%. A draw had a probability of 14.1% and a win for University College Dublin had a probability of 7.32%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dundalk win was 0-2 with a probability of 13.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (11.23%) and 0-1 (10.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.72%), while for a University College Dublin win it was 1-0 (2.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dundalk would win this match.
| Result | ||
| University College Dublin | Draw | Dundalk |
7.32% ( 0.01) | 14.14% ( 0.16) | 78.55% ( -0.17) |
| Both teams to score 44.35% ( -0.6) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.37% ( -0.79) | 37.63% ( 0.79) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.13% ( -0.85) | 59.87% ( 0.86) |
| University College Dublin Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 48.05% ( -0.53) | 51.95% ( 0.54) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 14.03% ( -0.35) | 85.97% ( 0.36) |
| Dundalk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 92.29% ( -0.21) | 7.71% ( 0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 72.53% ( -0.55) | 27.47% ( 0.56) |
| Score Analysis |
| University College Dublin | Draw | Dundalk |
| 1-0 @ 2.62% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 2.2% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.49% Total : 7.32% | 1-1 @ 6.72% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 4.01% ( 0.15)2-2 @ 2.82% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.59% Total : 14.14% | 0-2 @ 13.15% ( 0.22) 0-3 @ 11.23% ( 0.06)0-1 @ 10.26% ( 0.27)1-2 @ 8.61% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 7.36% ( -0.07)0-4 @ 7.2% ( -0.04)1-4 @ 4.71% ( -0.1)0-5 @ 3.69% ( -0.06)1-5 @ 2.42% ( -0.08)2-3 @ 2.41% ( -0.06)0-6 @ 1.58% ( -0.04)2-4 @ 1.54% ( -0.06)1-6 @ 1.03% ( -0.04)Other @ 3.36% Total : 78.54% |
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