SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundalk win with a probability of 37.13%. A win for Drogheda United had a probability of 34.72% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dundalk win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.85%) and 0-2 (6.89%). The likeliest Drogheda United win was 1-0 (11.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Dundalk in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Dundalk.
| Result | ||
| Drogheda United | Draw | Dundalk |
34.72% ( -0.23) | 28.16% ( 0.33) | 37.13% ( -0.1) |
| Both teams to score 47.28% ( -1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.13% ( -1.24) | 58.87% ( 1.23) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.63% ( -0.97) | 79.37% ( 0.97) |
| Drogheda United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68% ( -0.78) | 32% ( 0.78) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.54% ( -0.9) | 68.46% ( 0.89) |
| Dundalk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.53% ( -0.67) | 30.47% ( 0.67) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.32% ( -0.81) | 66.68% ( 0.8) |
| Score Analysis |
| Drogheda United | Draw | Dundalk |
| 1-0 @ 11.11% ( 0.28) 2-1 @ 7.52% ( -0.11)2-0 @ 6.33% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 2.86% ( -0.1)3-0 @ 2.4% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 1.7% ( -0.09)Other @ 2.8% Total : 34.72% | 1-1 @ 13.2% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 9.75% ( 0.45)2-2 @ 4.47% ( -0.15)Other @ 0.73% Total : 28.15% | 0-1 @ 11.58% ( 0.32) 1-2 @ 7.85% ( -0.09)0-2 @ 6.89% ( 0.07)1-3 @ 3.11% ( -0.09)0-3 @ 2.73% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.77% ( -0.09)1-4 @ 0.92% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.28% Total : 37.12% |
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