SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundalk win with a probability of 42.61%. A win for St Patrick's Athletic had a probability of 32.25% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dundalk win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.96%) and 2-0 (6.99%). The likeliest St Patrick's Athletic win was 0-1 (7.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Dundalk | Draw | St Patrick's Athletic |
42.61% ( 0.06) | 25.14% ( -0.02) | 32.25% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 56.27% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.85% ( 0.05) | 47.15% ( -0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.61% ( 0.05) | 69.38% ( -0.05) |
| Dundalk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.91% ( 0.05) | 22.09% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.55% ( 0.07) | 55.45% ( -0.08) |
| St Patrick's Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.23% ( -0.01) | 27.77% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.65% ( -0.01) | 63.34% ( 0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dundalk | Draw | St Patrick's Athletic |
| 1-0 @ 9.26% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.96% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 6.99% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 4.51% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 3.52% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.89% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.7% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.33% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.09% ( 0)Other @ 2.35% Total : 42.61% | 1-1 @ 11.86% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.13% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 5.74% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.23% ( 0)Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.13% | 0-1 @ 7.86% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 7.6% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 5.04% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 3.25% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.45% ( 0)0-3 @ 2.15% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.04% ( -0)Other @ 2.86% Total : 32.25% |
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