SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundalk win with a probability of 74.47%. A draw had a probability of 16.2% and a win for University College Dublin had a probability of 9.31%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dundalk win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.87%) and 3-0 (10.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.72%), while for a University College Dublin win it was 0-1 (3.25%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Dundalk would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Dundalk | Draw | University College Dublin |
74.47% ( 0.88) | 16.22% ( -0.34) | 9.31% ( -0.53) |
| Both teams to score 46.07% ( -0.98) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.51% ( -0.12) | 40.49% ( 0.12) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.13% ( -0.12) | 62.87% ( 0.13) |
| Dundalk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.68% ( 0.18) | 9.32% ( -0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 68.57% ( 0.42) | 31.43% ( -0.42) |
| University College Dublin Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 50.8% ( -1.19) | 49.2% ( 1.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 15.91% ( -0.86) | 84.1% ( 0.86) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dundalk | Draw | University College Dublin |
| 2-0 @ 12.9% ( 0.27) 1-0 @ 10.87% ( 0.14)3-0 @ 10.21% ( 0.29)2-1 @ 9.16% ( -0.11)3-1 @ 7.25% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 6.06% ( 0.22)4-1 @ 4.3% ( 0.02)5-0 @ 2.88% ( 0.13)3-2 @ 2.57% ( -0.1)5-1 @ 2.04% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.53% ( -0.05)6-0 @ 1.14% ( 0.06)Other @ 3.56% Total : 74.45% | 1-1 @ 7.72% ( -0.16) 0-0 @ 4.58% ( 0.03)2-2 @ 3.25% ( -0.15)Other @ 0.68% Total : 16.22% | 0-1 @ 3.25% ( -0.09) 1-2 @ 2.74% ( -0.15)0-2 @ 1.15% ( -0.07)Other @ 2.17% Total : 9.31% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
