Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shamrock Rovers win with a probability of 58.59%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Dundalk had a probability of 17.46%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shamrock Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.88%) and 2-1 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.21%), while for a Dundalk win it was 0-1 (6.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Shamrock Rovers in this match.
