SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Galway United win with a probability of 64.57%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Drogheda United had a probability of 12.82%.
The most likely scoreline for a Galway United win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.21%) and 2-1 (8.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.18%), while for a Drogheda United win it was 0-1 (5.81%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Galway United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Galway United | Draw | Drogheda United |
64.57% ( -0.04) | 22.61% ( 0.02) | 12.82% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 38.49% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.45% ( -0.04) | 57.54% ( 0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.67% ( -0.03) | 78.33% ( 0.03) |
| Galway United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.64% ( -0.03) | 17.36% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.24% ( -0.05) | 47.75% ( 0.05) |
| Drogheda United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 46.58% ( -0) | 53.42% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 13.09% ( 0) | 86.91% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Galway United | Draw | Drogheda United |
| 1-0 @ 16.23% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 14.21% ( -0.01)2-1 @ 8.91% ( -0)3-0 @ 8.3% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 5.2% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 3.63% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 2.28% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.63% ( -0)5-0 @ 1.27% ( -0)Other @ 2.89% Total : 64.56% | 1-1 @ 10.18% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 9.27% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 2.8% Other @ 0.37% Total : 22.61% | 0-1 @ 5.81% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 3.19% ( 0)0-2 @ 1.82% ( 0)Other @ 1.99% Total : 12.82% |
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