SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sligo Rovers win with a probability of 47.86%. A draw had a probability of 28.3% and a win for Drogheda United had a probability of 23.86%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sligo Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.02%) and 2-1 (8.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.78%), while for a Drogheda United win it was 0-1 (9.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sligo Rovers would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sligo Rovers | Draw | Drogheda United |
47.86% ( -0.62) | 28.28% ( 0.47) | 23.86% ( 0.16) |
| Both teams to score 41.83% ( -1.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 36.85% ( -1.36) | 63.15% ( 1.36) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.42% ( -0.99) | 82.58% ( 0.99) |
| Sligo Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.37% ( -0.93) | 26.63% ( 0.93) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.14% ( -1.25) | 61.87% ( 1.25) |
| Drogheda United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.01% ( -0.63) | 42.99% ( 0.64) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.72% ( -0.54) | 79.29% ( 0.54) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sligo Rovers | Draw | Drogheda United |
| 1-0 @ 15.14% ( 0.35) 2-0 @ 10.02% ( -0.02)2-1 @ 8.46% ( -0.17)3-0 @ 4.42% ( -0.13)3-1 @ 3.73% ( -0.18)3-2 @ 1.58% ( -0.1)4-0 @ 1.46% ( -0.08)4-1 @ 1.23% ( -0.09)Other @ 1.81% Total : 47.85% | 1-1 @ 12.78% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 11.44% ( 0.56)2-2 @ 3.57% ( -0.14)Other @ 0.48% Total : 28.27% | 0-1 @ 9.67% ( 0.32) 1-2 @ 5.4% ( -0.06)0-2 @ 4.08% ( 0.06)1-3 @ 1.52% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 1.15% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.01% ( -0.06)Other @ 1.05% Total : 23.86% |
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