SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derry City win with a probability of 52.02%. A draw had a probability of 26.6% and a win for Galway United had a probability of 21.42%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derry City win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.75%) and 2-1 (8.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.25%), while for a Galway United win it was 0-1 (8.36%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Derry City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Derry City | Draw | Galway United |
52.02% ( -0.05) | 26.56% ( -0.01) | 21.42% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 43.59% ( 0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.48% ( 0.07) | 59.52% ( -0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.13% ( 0.05) | 79.87% ( -0.05) |
| Derry City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.94% ( 0.01) | 23.06% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.11% ( 0.01) | 56.89% ( -0.02) |
| Galway United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.65% ( 0.1) | 43.34% ( -0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.42% ( 0.08) | 79.58% ( -0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Derry City | Draw | Galway United |
| 1-0 @ 14.66% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 10.75% ( -0.03)2-1 @ 8.99% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 5.26% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 4.4% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.93% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.84% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.61% ( 0)Other @ 2.57% Total : 52.01% | 1-1 @ 12.25% 0-0 @ 9.99% ( -0.03)2-2 @ 3.76% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.55% Total : 26.56% | 0-1 @ 8.36% ( 0) 1-2 @ 5.12% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 3.49% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 1.43% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.05% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 0.97% ( 0.01)Other @ 1% Total : 21.42% |
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