SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Galway United win with a probability of 37.81%. A win for St Patrick's Athletic had a probability of 34.28% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Galway United win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.99%) and 0-2 (6.98%). The likeliest St Patrick's Athletic win was 1-0 (10.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| St Patrick's Athletic | Draw | Galway United |
34.28% ( -0.03) | 27.91% ( 0) | 37.81% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 47.96% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42% ( -0.03) | 58% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.31% ( -0.02) | 78.69% ( 0.02) |
| St Patrick's Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.15% ( -0.03) | 31.84% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.71% ( -0.04) | 68.28% ( 0.03) |
| Galway United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.37% ( 0) | 29.63% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.33% ( 0) | 65.67% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| St Patrick's Athletic | Draw | Galway United |
| 1-0 @ 10.79% 2-1 @ 7.51% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 6.18% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 2.87% ( -0)3-0 @ 2.36% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.74% ( -0)Other @ 2.83% Total : 34.28% | 1-1 @ 13.13% 0-0 @ 9.44% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 4.57% ( -0)Other @ 0.77% Total : 27.91% | 0-1 @ 11.47% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.99% ( 0)0-2 @ 6.98% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 3.24% ( 0)0-3 @ 2.83% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.85% ( -0)1-4 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.45% Total : 37.8% |
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