Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shamrock Rovers win with a probability of 58.15%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Derry City had a probability of 17.96%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shamrock Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.6%) and 2-1 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.24%), while for a Derry City win it was 0-1 (6.63%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shamrock Rovers would win this match.
