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League of Ireland Premier | Gameweek 28
Sep 24, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
Brandywell Stadium

Derry
3 - 0
Longford Town

McGonigle (16'), Akintunde (29'), Ogedi-Uzokwe (82')
Hery (45'), Lafferty (57'), Akintunde (85')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Dervin (30'), Elworthy (60')
Coverage of the League of Ireland Premier clash between Derry City and Longford Town.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derry City win with a probability of 63.33%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Longford Town had a probability of 15.34%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derry City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.84%) and 2-1 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.13%), while for a Longford Town win it was 0-1 (5.26%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Derry City would win this match.

Result
Derry CityDrawLongford Town
63.33%21.33%15.34%
Both teams to score 48%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.93%48.06%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.77%70.23%
Derry City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.46%14.54%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.43%42.57%
Longford Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.17%43.83%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.02%79.98%
Score Analysis
    Derry City 63.31%
    Longford Town 15.35%
    Draw 21.32%
Derry CityDrawLongford Town
1-0 @ 12.28%
2-0 @ 11.84%
2-1 @ 9.77%
3-0 @ 7.62%
3-1 @ 6.28%
4-0 @ 3.67%
4-1 @ 3.03%
3-2 @ 2.59%
5-0 @ 1.42%
4-2 @ 1.25%
5-1 @ 1.17%
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 63.31%
1-1 @ 10.13%
0-0 @ 6.37%
2-2 @ 4.03%
Other @ 0.79%
Total : 21.32%
0-1 @ 5.26%
1-2 @ 4.18%
0-2 @ 2.17%
1-3 @ 1.15%
2-3 @ 1.11%
Other @ 1.49%
Total : 15.35%

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