Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derry City win with a probability of 63.33%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Longford Town had a probability of 15.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derry City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.84%) and 2-1 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.13%), while for a Longford Town win it was 0-1 (5.26%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Derry City would win this match.
