SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shamrock Rovers win with a probability of 49.05%. A win for Drogheda United had a probability of 26.03% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shamrock Rovers win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.46%) and 0-2 (8.65%). The likeliest Drogheda United win was 1-0 (7.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Drogheda United | Draw | Shamrock Rovers |
26.03% ( 0.14) | 24.92% ( -0.18) | 49.05% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 53.05% ( 0.68) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.44% ( 0.84) | 49.56% ( -0.84) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.41% ( 0.75) | 71.58% ( -0.75) |
| Drogheda United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.51% ( 0.56) | 33.49% ( -0.57) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.87% ( 0.61) | 70.12% ( -0.61) |
| Shamrock Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.77% ( 0.35) | 20.23% ( -0.35) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.44% ( 0.56) | 52.55% ( -0.56) |
| Score Analysis |
| Drogheda United | Draw | Shamrock Rovers |
| 1-0 @ 7.41% ( -0.14) 2-1 @ 6.48% ( 0.05)2-0 @ 4.05% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 2.36% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 1.89% ( 0.06)3-0 @ 1.48% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.36% Total : 26.03% | 1-1 @ 11.84% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 6.77% ( -0.23)2-2 @ 5.18% ( 0.09)3-3 @ 1.01% ( 0.05)Other @ 0.12% Total : 24.91% | 0-1 @ 10.82% ( -0.25) 1-2 @ 9.46% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 8.65% ( -0.11)1-3 @ 5.04% ( 0.07)0-3 @ 4.61% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.76% ( 0.08)1-4 @ 2.01% ( 0.05)0-4 @ 1.84% ( 0.02)2-4 @ 1.1% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.75% Total : 49.04% |
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