Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shamrock Rovers win with a probability of 77.31%. A draw had a probability of 14.6% and a win for Drogheda United had a probability of 8.05%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shamrock Rovers win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.72%) and 1-0 (9.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.95%), while for a Drogheda United win it was 0-1 (2.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Shamrock Rovers | Draw | Drogheda United |
77.31% ( 0.23) | 14.64% ( -0.06) | 8.05% ( -0.17) |
Both teams to score 46.24% ( -0.63) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
62.79% ( -0.36) | 37.21% ( 0.36) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
40.58% ( -0.39) | 59.42% ( 0.39) |
Shamrock Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
92.12% ( -0.04) | 7.88% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
72.09% ( -0.08) | 27.91% ( 0.08) |
Drogheda United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
50.2% ( -0.67) | 49.8% ( 0.66) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
15.48% ( -0.47) | 84.52% ( 0.47) |
Score Analysis |
Shamrock Rovers | Draw | Drogheda United |
2-0 @ 12.66% ( 0.18) 3-0 @ 10.72% ( 0.13) 1-0 @ 9.97% ( 0.16) 2-1 @ 8.83% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 7.48% ( -0.05) 4-0 @ 6.81% ( 0.07) 4-1 @ 4.75% ( -0.04) 5-0 @ 3.46% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 2.61% ( -0.07) 5-1 @ 2.41% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.66% ( -0.05) 6-0 @ 1.47% ( 0.01) 6-1 @ 1.02% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.45% Total : 77.3% | 1-1 @ 6.95% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 3.93% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 3.08% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.68% Total : 14.64% | 0-1 @ 2.74% ( -0) 1-2 @ 2.42% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 0.95% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.94% Total : 8.05% |
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