SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derry City win with a probability of 50.68%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Shamrock Rovers had a probability of 23.43%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derry City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.85%) and 2-1 (9.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.22%), while for a Shamrock Rovers win it was 0-1 (8.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Derry City | Draw | Shamrock Rovers |
50.68% ( 0.01) | 25.9% ( 0) | 23.43% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 47.62% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.55% ( -0) | 55.45% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.36% ( -0) | 76.64% ( 0.01) |
| Derry City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.07% ( 0) | 21.93% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.79% ( 0) | 55.21% |
| Shamrock Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.99% ( -0.01) | 39.01% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.27% ( -0.01) | 75.74% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Derry City | Draw | Shamrock Rovers |
| 1-0 @ 12.98% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 9.85% ( 0)2-1 @ 9.27% 3-0 @ 4.98% ( 0)3-1 @ 4.69% 3-2 @ 2.21% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.89% 4-1 @ 1.78% Other @ 3.04% Total : 50.68% | 1-1 @ 12.22% 0-0 @ 8.56% ( 0)2-2 @ 4.36% ( -0)Other @ 0.76% Total : 25.9% | 0-1 @ 8.05% 1-2 @ 5.75% ( -0)0-2 @ 3.79% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.8% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.37% 0-3 @ 1.19% ( -0)Other @ 1.47% Total : 23.43% |
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