SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shamrock Rovers win with a probability of 50.79%. A win for Dundalk had a probability of 25.19% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shamrock Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.64%) and 2-0 (8.58%). The likeliest Dundalk win was 0-1 (6.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Shamrock Rovers in this match.
| Result | ||
| Shamrock Rovers | Draw | Dundalk |
50.79% ( -0) | 24.02% ( -0) | 25.19% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 55.13% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.55% ( 0.02) | 46.44% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.27% ( 0.02) | 68.72% ( -0.02) |
| Shamrock Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.68% ( 0.01) | 18.31% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.59% ( 0.01) | 49.4% ( -0.01) |
| Dundalk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.49% ( 0.02) | 32.51% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.96% ( 0.02) | 69.04% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Shamrock Rovers | Draw | Dundalk |
| 1-0 @ 10.1% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.64% 2-0 @ 8.58% ( -0)3-1 @ 5.45% ( 0)3-0 @ 4.85% ( -0)3-2 @ 3.06% ( 0)4-1 @ 2.32% ( 0)4-0 @ 2.06% 4-2 @ 1.3% ( 0)Other @ 3.41% Total : 50.78% | 1-1 @ 11.35% 0-0 @ 5.95% ( -0)2-2 @ 5.42% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.15% ( 0)Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.02% | 0-1 @ 6.69% ( -0) 1-2 @ 6.38% ( 0)0-2 @ 3.76% 1-3 @ 2.39% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.03% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.41% ( 0)Other @ 2.54% Total : 25.19% |
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