SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Drogheda United win with a probability of 76.97%. A draw had a probability of 14.9% and a win for University College Dublin had a probability of 8.12%.
The most likely scoreline for a Drogheda United win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.76%) and 1-0 (10.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.09%), while for a University College Dublin win it was 0-1 (2.83%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Drogheda United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Drogheda United | Draw | University College Dublin |
76.97% ( -1.23) | 14.9% ( 0.72) | 8.12% ( 0.52) |
| Both teams to score 45.58% ( -0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.74% ( -1.57) | 38.26% ( 1.57) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.46% ( -1.69) | 60.54% ( 1.69) |
| Drogheda United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.8% ( -0.63) | 8.2% ( 0.63) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 71.29% ( -1.59) | 28.71% ( 1.59) |
| University College Dublin Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 49.65% ( 0.18) | 50.35% ( -0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 15.1% ( 0.13) | 84.9% ( -0.13) |
| Score Analysis |
| Drogheda United | Draw | University College Dublin |
| 2-0 @ 12.91% ( 0.17) 3-0 @ 10.76% ( -0.2)1-0 @ 10.32% ( 0.45)2-1 @ 8.86% ( 0.16)3-1 @ 7.39% ( -0.09)4-0 @ 6.73% ( -0.34)4-1 @ 4.62% ( -0.21)5-0 @ 3.37% ( -0.28)3-2 @ 2.54% ( -0.02)5-1 @ 2.31% ( -0.18)4-2 @ 1.59% ( -0.06)6-0 @ 1.4% ( -0.17)6-1 @ 0.96% ( -0.11)Other @ 3.21% Total : 76.96% | 1-1 @ 7.09% ( 0.35) 0-0 @ 4.13% ( 0.3)2-2 @ 3.04% ( 0.07)Other @ 0.65% Total : 14.9% | 0-1 @ 2.83% ( 0.22) 1-2 @ 2.43% ( 0.13)0-2 @ 0.97% ( 0.08)Other @ 1.89% Total : 8.12% |
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