Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Patrick's Athletic win with a probability of 68.33%. A draw had a probability of 19.2% and a win for Longford Town had a probability of 12.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Patrick's Athletic win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.76%) and 1-2 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.11%), while for a Longford Town win it was 1-0 (4.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that St Patrick's Athletic would win this match.
