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League of Ireland Premier | Gameweek 31
Oct 15, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
Brandywell Stadium
SP

Derry
1 - 0
St Patrick's

Ogedi-Uzokwe (63')
Boyce (40'), Lafferty (75'), (90+5')
Lafferty (84')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Smith (28')
Coughlin (84')
Coverage of the League of Ireland Premier clash between Derry City and St Patrick's Athletic.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Patrick's Athletic win with a probability of 36.82%. A win for Derry City had a probability of 36.14% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Patrick's Athletic win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.05%) and 0-2 (6.49%). The likeliest Derry City win was 1-0 (10.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood.

Result
Derry CityDrawSt Patrick's Athletic
36.14%27.03%36.82%
Both teams to score 50.81%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.5%54.5%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.14%75.85%
Derry City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.08%28.92%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.2%64.8%
St Patrick's Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.48%28.51%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.71%64.29%
Score Analysis
    Derry City 36.14%
    St Patrick's Athletic 36.81%
    Draw 27.03%
Derry CityDrawSt Patrick's Athletic
1-0 @ 10.23%
2-1 @ 7.96%
2-0 @ 6.35%
3-1 @ 3.29%
3-0 @ 2.62%
3-2 @ 2.07%
4-1 @ 1.02%
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 36.14%
1-1 @ 12.83%
0-0 @ 8.25%
2-2 @ 5%
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 27.03%
0-1 @ 10.34%
1-2 @ 8.05%
0-2 @ 6.49%
1-3 @ 3.37%
0-3 @ 2.72%
2-3 @ 2.09%
1-4 @ 1.06%
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 36.81%

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