SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shamrock Rovers win with a probability of 54.16%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Shelbourne had a probability of 20.33%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shamrock Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.99%) and 2-1 (9.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.9%), while for a Shelbourne win it was 0-1 (7.65%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shamrock Rovers would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Shamrock Rovers | Draw | Shelbourne |
54.16% ( -0.53) | 25.51% ( 0.07) | 20.33% ( 0.46) |
| Both teams to score 44.96% ( 0.45) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.03% ( 0.24) | 56.97% ( -0.24) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.13% ( 0.2) | 77.87% ( -0.19) |
| Shamrock Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.92% ( -0.12) | 21.08% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.1% ( -0.19) | 53.9% ( 0.19) |
| Shelbourne Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.97% ( 0.65) | 43.03% ( -0.65) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.69% ( 0.55) | 79.31% ( -0.54) |
| Score Analysis |
| Shamrock Rovers | Draw | Shelbourne |
| 1-0 @ 14.12% ( -0.18) 2-0 @ 10.99% ( -0.18)2-1 @ 9.27% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 5.7% ( -0.12)3-1 @ 4.81% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 2.22% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 2.03% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 1.87% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.15% Total : 54.16% | 1-1 @ 11.9% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 9.07% ( -0.08)2-2 @ 3.91% ( 0.07)Other @ 0.62% Total : 25.5% | 0-1 @ 7.65% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 5.02% ( 0.11)0-2 @ 3.23% ( 0.09)1-3 @ 1.41% ( 0.06)2-3 @ 1.1% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 0.91% ( 0.04)Other @ 1.01% Total : 20.33% |
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