SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shamrock Rovers win with a probability of 50.96%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for St Patrick's Athletic had a probability of 24.03%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shamrock Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.5%) and 2-0 (9.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.89%), while for a St Patrick's Athletic win it was 0-1 (7.44%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shamrock Rovers would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Shamrock Rovers | Draw | St Patrick's Athletic |
50.96% ( -0) | 25.01% ( 0) | 24.03% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 50.83% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.46% ( -0) | 51.54% ( 0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.66% ( -0) | 73.34% ( 0) |
| Shamrock Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.77% ( -0) | 20.23% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.45% ( -0) | 52.56% ( 0) |
| St Patrick's Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.72% ( -0) | 36.28% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.93% ( -0) | 73.07% ( 0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Shamrock Rovers | Draw | St Patrick's Athletic |
| 1-0 @ 11.72% 2-1 @ 9.5% 2-0 @ 9.37% 3-1 @ 5.06% 3-0 @ 4.99% 3-2 @ 2.57% 4-1 @ 2.02% ( -0)4-0 @ 2% 4-2 @ 1.03% Other @ 2.7% Total : 50.95% | 1-1 @ 11.89% 0-0 @ 7.34% ( 0)2-2 @ 4.82% Other @ 0.96% Total : 25.01% | 0-1 @ 7.44% ( 0) 1-2 @ 6.03% 0-2 @ 3.77% ( 0)1-3 @ 2.04% 2-3 @ 1.63% 0-3 @ 1.28% Other @ 1.85% Total : 24.03% |
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