SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Molde win with a probability of 41.59%. A win for Shamrock Rovers had a probability of 35.5% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Molde win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.29%) and 0-2 (5.44%). The likeliest Shamrock Rovers win was 2-1 (7.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.97%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Molde in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Molde.
| Result | ||
| Shamrock Rovers | Draw | Molde |
35.5% ( 0) | 22.91% ( 0.01) | 41.59% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 65.39% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.33% ( -0.05) | 35.67% ( 0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.27% ( -0.06) | 57.73% ( 0.06) |
| Shamrock Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.49% ( -0.02) | 20.51% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47% ( -0.04) | 53% ( 0.04) |
| Molde Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.26% ( -0.03) | 17.74% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.58% ( -0.05) | 48.42% ( 0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Shamrock Rovers | Draw | Molde |
| 2-1 @ 7.9% ( 0) 1-0 @ 5.76% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 4.57% ( 0)3-1 @ 4.17% ( -0)3-2 @ 3.61% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 2.41% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.65% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.43% ( -0)4-0 @ 0.96% Other @ 3.05% Total : 35.5% | 1-1 @ 9.97% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.83% ( -0)0-0 @ 3.64% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 2.08% ( -0)Other @ 0.4% Total : 22.91% | 1-2 @ 8.62% ( 0) 0-1 @ 6.29% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 5.44% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 4.97% ( -0)2-3 @ 3.94% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 3.14% 1-4 @ 2.15% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.7% ( -0)0-4 @ 1.36% ( -0)Other @ 3.99% Total : 41.59% |
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