SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Waterford United win with a probability of 41.64%. A win for Drogheda United had a probability of 33.56% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Waterford United win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.63%) and 0-2 (6.59%). The likeliest Drogheda United win was 2-1 (7.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Waterford United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Drogheda United | Draw | Waterford United |
33.56% ( -0) | 24.8% ( 0) | 41.64% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 57.9% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.76% ( -0.02) | 45.24% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.42% ( -0.02) | 67.58% ( 0.02) |
| Drogheda United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.97% ( -0.01) | 26.03% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.94% ( -0.02) | 61.06% ( 0.02) |
| Waterford United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.27% ( -0.01) | 21.73% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.1% ( -0.01) | 54.9% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Drogheda United | Draw | Waterford United |
| 2-1 @ 7.82% ( -0) 1-0 @ 7.61% ( 0)2-0 @ 5.12% ( 0)3-1 @ 3.51% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.68% ( -0)3-0 @ 2.3% 4-1 @ 1.18% ( -0)4-2 @ 0.9% ( -0)Other @ 2.43% Total : 33.56% | 1-1 @ 11.62% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.97% ( -0)0-0 @ 5.66% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.36% ( -0)Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.8% | 1-2 @ 8.87% 0-1 @ 8.63% ( 0)0-2 @ 6.59% ( 0)1-3 @ 4.51% ( -0)0-3 @ 3.35% 2-3 @ 3.04% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.72% ( -0)0-4 @ 1.28% 2-4 @ 1.16% ( -0)Other @ 2.49% Total : 41.64% |
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