Although Accrington are unbeaten in their last five games in all competitions, we think that Barnsley will have enough quality to claim a sixth consecutive victory in League One.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnsley win with a probability of 41.38%. A win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 33.25% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barnsley win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.82%) and 0-2 (6.83%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win was 1-0 (8.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12% likelihood.
0.02) 
-0.03) 
