SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 47.13%. A win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 28.1% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.37%) and 0-2 (7.96%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win was 1-0 (7.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Accrington Stanley | Draw | Oxford United |
28.1% ( 0.2) | 24.77% ( -0.2) | 47.13% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 55.21% ( 0.81) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.49% ( 0.99) | 47.51% ( -0.99) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.28% ( 0.91) | 69.72% ( -0.91) |
| Accrington Stanley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.2% ( 0.66) | 30.8% ( -0.66) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.92% ( 0.78) | 67.08% ( -0.78) |
| Oxford United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.79% ( 0.41) | 20.21% ( -0.4) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.47% ( 0.64) | 52.53% ( -0.64) |
| Score Analysis |
| Accrington Stanley | Draw | Oxford United |
| 1-0 @ 7.33% ( -0.17) 2-1 @ 6.9% ( 0.05)2-0 @ 4.32% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 2.71% ( 0.07)3-2 @ 2.17% ( 0.08)3-0 @ 1.69% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.98% Total : 28.1% | 1-1 @ 11.72% ( -0.12) 0-0 @ 6.23% ( -0.26)2-2 @ 5.52% ( 0.11)3-3 @ 1.15% ( 0.06)Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.77% | 0-1 @ 9.96% ( -0.29) 1-2 @ 9.37% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 7.96% ( -0.13)1-3 @ 4.99% ( 0.07)0-3 @ 4.24% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.94% ( 0.09)1-4 @ 2% ( 0.05)0-4 @ 1.7% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.18% ( 0.05)Other @ 2.81% Total : 47.13% |
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