Burton have failed to win their last seven league games, but after drawing four of their previous five matches in League One, we think that they will hold Lincoln to a draw on Monday.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burton Albion win with a probability of 44.05%. A win for Lincoln City had a probability of 30.05% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burton Albion win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.01%) and 2-0 (7.76%). The likeliest Lincoln City win was 0-1 (8.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.31%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Burton Albion would win this match.
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