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League One | Gameweek 24
Dec 29, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Oakwell Stadium
FT

Barnsley
2 - 1
Fleetwood

Norwood (64'), Cundy (86')
Williams (51'), Andersen (73'), Kane (84'), Norwood (86'), Jalo (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Muskwe (77' pen.)
Garner (45')

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Barnsley 2-1 Fleetwood Town

Barnsley find themselves in fine form and will be keen to return to winning ways on Thursday after a slightly disappointing draw last time out. Given the difference in quality between the squads, and the confidence Duff's men will have, we can only envisage them taking all three points at Oakwell. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnsley win with a probability of 57.41%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Fleetwood Town had a probability of 18.81%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barnsley win was 1-0 with a probability of 13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.13%) and 2-1 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.25%), while for a Fleetwood Town win it was 0-1 (6.58%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Barnsley in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Barnsley.

Result
BarnsleyDrawFleetwood Town
57.41% (-0.439 -0.44) 23.78% (0.07 0.07) 18.81% (0.372 0.37)
Both teams to score 47.46% (0.416 0.42)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.58% (0.22600000000001 0.23)52.42% (-0.222 -0.22)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.9% (0.194 0.19)74.1% (-0.19 -0.19)
Barnsley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.94% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08)18.06% (0.079999999999998 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.03% (-0.134 -0.13)48.97% (0.137 0.14)
Fleetwood Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.91% (0.564 0.56)42.09% (-0.56 -0.56)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.49% (0.484 0.48)78.51% (-0.48099999999999 -0.48)
Score Analysis
    Barnsley 57.4%
    Fleetwood Town 18.81%
    Draw 23.77%
BarnsleyDrawFleetwood Town
1-0 @ 13% (-0.15 -0.15)
2-0 @ 11.13% (-0.15 -0.15)
2-1 @ 9.63% (0.014000000000001 0.01)
3-0 @ 6.35% (-0.106 -0.11)
3-1 @ 5.5% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.72% (-0.052 -0.05)
3-2 @ 2.38% (0.034 0.03)
4-1 @ 2.35% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.02% (0.012 0.01)
5-0 @ 0.93% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 57.4%
1-1 @ 11.25% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
0-0 @ 7.6% (-0.067 -0.07)
2-2 @ 4.17% (0.069 0.07)
Other @ 0.75%
Total : 23.77%
0-1 @ 6.58% (0.043 0.04)
1-2 @ 4.87% (0.093000000000001 0.09)
0-2 @ 2.85% (0.062 0.06)
1-3 @ 1.41% (0.048 0.05)
2-3 @ 1.2% (0.038 0.04)
Other @ 1.91%
Total : 18.81%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Accrington 1-1 Barnsley
Monday, December 26 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Barnsley 2-0 Burton Albion
Saturday, December 17 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Peterborough 1-2 Barnsley
Friday, December 2 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Barnsley 3-0 Crewe
Saturday, November 26 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Port Vale 2-1 Barnsley
Wednesday, November 23 at 7.30pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Barnsley 3-1 MK Dons
Saturday, November 19 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Fleetwood 1-2 Sheff Weds
Monday, December 26 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: MK Dons 1-2 Fleetwood
Saturday, December 10 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Ipswich 1-1 Fleetwood
Friday, December 2 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Ebbsfleet 0-1 Fleetwood
Sunday, November 27 at 12.30pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Fleetwood 1-2 Bolton
Saturday, November 19 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Bristol Rovers 2-2 Fleetwood
Saturday, November 12 at 3pm in League One


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