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League One | Gameweek 41
Apr 10, 2023 at 3pm UK
Vale Park
OU

Port Vale
0 - 0
Oxford Utd


Massey (44'), Smith (45'), Benning (45+4'), Pett (60'), Worrall (74')
Politic (90+2')
FT

McGuane (58'), Joseph (74')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Accrington 3-0 Port Vale
Friday, April 7 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Oxford Utd 1-1 Sheff Weds
Friday, April 7 at 3pm in League One

We said: Port Vale 1-1 Oxford United

Oxford will be desperate to claim their first win since January, but having failed to win on their last four trips to Vale Park, we think that they will have to settle for a point on Monday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 36.57%. A win for Port Vale had a probability of 35.31% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.78%) and 0-2 (6.75%). The likeliest Port Vale win was 1-0 (11.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.19%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Port ValeDrawOxford United
35.31% (0.0069999999999979 0.01) 28.13%36.57% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Both teams to score 47.4% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.27% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)58.74% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.74% (-0.004999999999999 -0)79.26% (0.0039999999999907 0)
Port Vale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.45% (0.0040000000000049 0)31.55% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.05% (0.0030000000000001 0)67.95% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Oxford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.25% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)30.75% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.99% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)67.01% (0.007000000000005 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Port Vale 35.3%
    Oxford United 36.57%
    Draw 28.12%
Port ValeDrawOxford United
1-0 @ 11.19%
2-1 @ 7.61% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-0 @ 6.46% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 2.93%
3-0 @ 2.48% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-2 @ 1.73%
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 35.3%
1-1 @ 13.19%
0-0 @ 9.7% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-2 @ 4.49%
Other @ 0.74%
Total : 28.12%
0-1 @ 11.44%
1-2 @ 7.78% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-2 @ 6.75% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-3 @ 3.06% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 2.65% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 1.76% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-4 @ 0.9%
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 36.57%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Accrington 3-0 Port Vale
Friday, April 7 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Port Vale 0-2 Cambridge
Saturday, April 1 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Portsmouth 2-2 Port Vale
Saturday, March 25 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Port Vale 2-3 Burton Albion
Saturday, March 18 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Fleetwood 1-1 Port Vale
Saturday, March 11 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Port Vale 1-0 MK Dons
Saturday, March 4 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Oxford Utd 1-1 Sheff Weds
Friday, April 7 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Peterborough 0-0 Oxford Utd
Saturday, April 1 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Morecambe 1-1 Oxford Utd
Saturday, March 18 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Oxford Utd 2-3 Derby
Saturday, March 11 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Lincoln 1-0 Oxford Utd
Saturday, March 4 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Oxford Utd 0-3 Bristol Rovers
Saturday, February 25 at 12.30pm in League One


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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