Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 48.75%. A win for Oxford United had a probability of 26.43% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.46%) and 0-2 (8.49%). The likeliest Oxford United win was 1-0 (7.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.78%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Bolton Wanderers in this match.
0.02) 
-0.02) 
