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League One | Gameweek 7
Sep 21, 2024 at 3pm UK
Pirelli Stadium
B

Burton Albion
1 - 2
Barnsley

Cooper Love (88')
Vancooten (68'), Akoto (90+6')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Connell (36'), Humphrys (90')
Earl (3'), Durand de Gevigney (20')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Rotherham 2-2 Burton Albion
Saturday, September 14 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Man Utd 7-0 Barnsley
Tuesday, September 17 at 8pm in EFL Cup

We said: Burton Albion 0-1 Barnsley

While recent results suggest that Barnsley might have taken a hit to their confidence after what was a solid enough start to the season, Robinson will be hoping for a response from his players as they look to keep up with the leading pack in League One. Burton have a proclivity for drawing games at present, but with a few key players still absent for the Brewers, we expect the away side to narrowly take all three points on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burton Albion win with a probability of 45.59%. A win for Barnsley had a probability of 29.43% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burton Albion win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.24%) and 2-0 (7.66%). The likeliest Barnsley win was 0-1 (7.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Barnsley would win this match.

Result
Burton AlbionDrawBarnsley
45.59% (-0.105 -0.1) 24.98% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01) 29.43% (0.111 0.11)
Both teams to score 55.41% (0.090000000000003 0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.35% (0.086999999999996 0.09)47.65% (-0.086999999999996 -0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.15% (0.081 0.08)69.84% (-0.079999999999998 -0.08)
Burton Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.06% (-0.012 -0.01)20.94% (0.012 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.32% (-0.017000000000003 -0.02)53.67% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Barnsley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.09% (0.123 0.12)29.91% (-0.123 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.99% (0.15 0.15)66.01% (-0.149 -0.15)
Score Analysis
    Burton Albion 45.59%
    Barnsley 29.43%
    Draw 24.97%
Burton AlbionDrawBarnsley
1-0 @ 9.79% (-0.039 -0.04)
2-1 @ 9.24% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
2-0 @ 7.66% (-0.032999999999999 -0.03)
3-1 @ 4.82% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.99% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.91% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.88% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
4-0 @ 1.56% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.14% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 45.59%
1-1 @ 11.81% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.26% (-0.022 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.58% (0.015 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.17% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 24.97%
0-1 @ 7.56% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-2 @ 7.13% (0.021 0.02)
0-2 @ 4.56% (0.014 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.87% (0.018 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.24% (0.014 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.84% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 3.23%
Total : 29.43%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Rotherham 2-2 Burton Albion
Saturday, September 14 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Northampton 0-0 Burton Albion
Saturday, August 31 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Burton Albion 0-0 Stevenage
Saturday, August 24 at 12.30pm in League One
Last Game: Burton Albion 3-1 Leicester U21s
Tuesday, August 20 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Mansfield 3-3 Burton Albion
Saturday, August 17 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Burton Albion 0-4 Blackpool
Tuesday, August 13 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Man Utd 7-0 Barnsley
Tuesday, September 17 at 8pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Stevenage 3-0 Barnsley
Saturday, September 14 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Barnsley 2-1 Bristol Rovers
Saturday, September 7 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Crawley 0-3 Barnsley
Saturday, August 31 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Barnsley 1-0 Sheff Utd
Tuesday, August 27 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Barnsley 2-2 Northampton
Saturday, August 24 at 3pm in League One


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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