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MU
EFL Cup | Third Round
Sep 17, 2024 at 8pm UK
Old Trafford
B

Man Utd
7 - 0
Barnsley

Rashford (16', 58'), Antony (35' pen.), Garnacho (45+2', 49'), Eriksen (81', 85')
FT(HT: 3-0)

Slonina (34'), Humphrys (72'), O'Keeffe (90+3')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Southampton 0-3 Man Utd
Saturday, September 14 at 12.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Stevenage 3-0 Barnsley
Saturday, September 14 at 3pm in League One

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United win with a probability of 50.4%. A win for Barnsley had a probability of 28.53% and a draw had a probability of 21.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.21%) and 2-0 (5.78%). The likeliest Barnsley win was 1-2 (6.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.52%). The actual scoreline of 7-0 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester United would win this match.

Result
Manchester UnitedDrawBarnsley
50.4% (-4.32 -4.32) 21.07% (0.75 0.75) 28.53% (3.572 3.57)
Both teams to score 68.9% (0.67700000000001 0.68)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
70.32% (-0.52200000000001 -0.52)29.68% (0.526 0.53)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
49.19% (-0.634 -0.63)50.81% (0.637 0.64)
Manchester United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.64% (-1.381 -1.38)12.36% (1.385 1.39)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.8% (-2.974 -2.97)38.2% (2.977 2.98)
Barnsley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.62% (1.984 1.98)21.38% (-1.98 -1.98)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.64% (2.97 2.97)54.36% (-2.967 -2.97)
Score Analysis
    Manchester United 50.4%
    Barnsley 28.53%
    Draw 21.07%
Manchester UnitedDrawBarnsley
2-1 @ 8.91% (-0.191 -0.19)
3-1 @ 6.21% (-0.493 -0.49)
2-0 @ 5.78% (-0.483 -0.48)
1-0 @ 5.52% (-0.14 -0.14)
3-2 @ 4.79% (-0.084 -0.08)
3-0 @ 4.03% (-0.585 -0.59)
4-1 @ 3.25% (-0.457 -0.46)
4-2 @ 2.5% (-0.188 -0.19)
4-0 @ 2.1% (-0.443 -0.44)
5-1 @ 1.36% (-0.28 -0.28)
4-3 @ 1.29% (-0.017 -0.02)
5-2 @ 1.05% (-0.143 -0.14)
Other @ 3.63%
Total : 50.4%
1-1 @ 8.52% (0.286 0.29)
2-2 @ 6.87% (0.256 0.26)
0-0 @ 2.64% (0.079 0.08)
3-3 @ 2.46% (0.101 0.1)
Other @ 0.57%
Total : 21.07%
1-2 @ 6.57% (0.586 0.59)
0-1 @ 4.08% (0.349 0.35)
2-3 @ 3.53% (0.327 0.33)
1-3 @ 3.38% (0.478 0.48)
0-2 @ 3.14% (0.434 0.43)
0-3 @ 1.62% (0.303 0.3)
2-4 @ 1.36% (0.197 0.2)
1-4 @ 1.3% (0.249 0.25)
3-4 @ 0.95% (0.091 0.09)
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 28.53%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Southampton 0-3 Man Utd
Saturday, September 14 at 12.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Man Utd 0-3 Liverpool
Sunday, September 1 at 4pm in Premier League
Last Game: Brighton 2-1 Man Utd
Saturday, August 24 at 12.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Man Utd 1-0 Fulham
Friday, August 16 at 8pm in Premier League
Last Game: Man City 1-1 Man Utd (7-6 pen.)
Saturday, August 10 at 3pm in Community Shield
Last Game: Man Utd 0-3 Liverpool
Sunday, August 4 at 12.45am in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Stevenage 3-0 Barnsley
Saturday, September 14 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Barnsley 2-1 Bristol Rovers
Saturday, September 7 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Crawley 0-3 Barnsley
Saturday, August 31 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Barnsley 1-0 Sheff Utd
Tuesday, August 27 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Barnsley 2-2 Northampton
Saturday, August 24 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Barnsley 2-3 Man Utd U21s
Tuesday, August 20 at 7pm in EFL Trophy


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