SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnsley win with a probability of 41.44%. A win for Northampton Town had a probability of 33.1% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barnsley win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.82%) and 2-0 (6.89%). The likeliest Northampton Town win was 0-1 (8.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.05%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Barnsley | Draw | Northampton Town |
41.44% ( -4.61) | 25.45% ( -0.15) | 33.1% ( 4.76) |
| Both teams to score 55.5% ( 2.81) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.71% ( 2.6) | 48.29% ( -2.6) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.57% ( 2.33) | 70.43% ( -2.33) |
| Barnsley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.85% ( -1.07) | 23.15% ( 1.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.98% ( -1.59) | 57.02% ( 1.59) |
| Northampton Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.22% ( 4.59) | 27.78% ( -4.59) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.64% ( 5.52) | 63.36% ( -5.52) |
| Score Analysis |
| Barnsley | Draw | Northampton Town |
| 1-0 @ 9.41% ( -1.38) 2-1 @ 8.82% ( -0.38)2-0 @ 6.89% ( -1.27)3-1 @ 4.3% ( -0.33)3-0 @ 3.36% ( -0.75)3-2 @ 2.76% ( 0.14)4-1 @ 1.57% ( -0.18)4-0 @ 1.23% ( -0.32)4-2 @ 1.01% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.11% Total : 41.44% | 1-1 @ 12.05% ( -0.12) 0-0 @ 6.43% ( -0.72)2-2 @ 5.65% ( 0.46)3-3 @ 1.18% ( 0.19)Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.45% | 0-1 @ 8.24% ( 0.17) 1-2 @ 7.72% ( 0.85)0-2 @ 5.27% ( 0.73)1-3 @ 3.3% ( 0.71)2-3 @ 2.41% ( 0.46)0-3 @ 2.25% ( 0.54)1-4 @ 1.06% ( 0.33)Other @ 2.86% Total : 33.1% |
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