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League One | Gameweek 5
Sep 7, 2024 at 3pm UK
Oakwell Stadium
BR

Barnsley
2 - 1
Bristol Rovers

Keillor-Dunn (11'), Phillips (65')
Earl (57'), Roberts (90+6'), O'Keeffe (90+2'), Connell (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Sotiriou (37')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Crawley 0-3 Barnsley
Saturday, August 31 at 3pm in League One

We said: Barnsley 1-1 Bristol Rovers

Barnsley head into the weekend short on attacking options, and while they have made a strong start under Darrell Clarke, we anticipate them being held by a Bristol Rovers side with momentum of their own. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnsley win with a probability of 40.94%. A win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 33.66% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barnsley win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.77%) and 2-0 (6.74%). The likeliest Bristol Rovers win was 0-1 (8.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barnsley would win this match.

Result
BarnsleyDrawBristol Rovers
40.94% (-0.426 -0.43) 25.39% (-0.208 -0.21) 33.66% (0.633 0.63)
Both teams to score 55.88% (0.884 0.88)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.13% (1.065 1.07)47.87% (-1.067 -1.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.95% (0.972 0.97)70.05% (-0.973 -0.97)
Barnsley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.79% (0.255 0.25)23.21% (-0.256 -0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.89% (0.371 0.37)57.11% (-0.372 -0.37)
Bristol Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.77% (0.913 0.91)27.23% (-0.914 -0.91)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.35% (1.173 1.17)62.65% (-1.175 -1.18)
Score Analysis
    Barnsley 40.94%
    Bristol Rovers 33.66%
    Draw 25.38%
BarnsleyDrawBristol Rovers
1-0 @ 9.23% (-0.343 -0.34)
2-1 @ 8.77% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
2-0 @ 6.74% (-0.197 -0.2)
3-1 @ 4.27% (0.018999999999999 0.02)
3-0 @ 3.28% (-0.071 -0.07)
3-2 @ 2.78% (0.082 0.08)
4-1 @ 1.56% (0.018 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.2% (-0.017 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.01% (0.037 0.04)
Other @ 2.1%
Total : 40.94%
1-1 @ 12% (-0.13 -0.13)
0-0 @ 6.32% (-0.284 -0.28)
2-2 @ 5.7% (0.127 0.13)
3-3 @ 1.2% (0.065 0.07)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.38%
0-1 @ 8.22% (-0.152 -0.15)
1-2 @ 7.81% (0.116 0.12)
0-2 @ 5.35% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
1-3 @ 3.39% (0.135 0.14)
2-3 @ 2.47% (0.116 0.12)
0-3 @ 2.32% (0.076 0.08)
1-4 @ 1.1% (0.071 0.07)
Other @ 3%
Total : 33.66%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Crawley 0-3 Barnsley
Saturday, August 31 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Barnsley 1-0 Sheff Utd
Tuesday, August 27 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Barnsley 2-2 Northampton
Saturday, August 24 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Barnsley 2-3 Man Utd U21s
Tuesday, August 20 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Lincoln 1-2 Barnsley
Saturday, August 17 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Wigan 1-1 Barnsley (2-4 pen.)
Tuesday, August 13 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Bristol Rovers 2-0 Cambridge
Saturday, August 31 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Stockport 2-0 Bristol Rovers
Saturday, August 24 at 12.30pm in League One
Last Game: Bristol Rovers 3-3 Spurs U21s (5-6 pen.)
Tuesday, August 20 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Rotherham 0-0 Bristol Rovers
Saturday, August 17 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Cardiff 2-0 Bristol Rovers
Tuesday, August 13 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Bristol Rovers 1-0 Northampton
Saturday, August 10 at 5.30pm in League One


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