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League One | Gameweek 5
Nov 26, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
St James Park
BL

Exeter
vs.
Birmingham

 
Coverage of the League One clash between Exeter City and Birmingham City.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Exeter 1-0 Charlton
Saturday, November 9 at 3pm in League One
Next Game: Exeter vs. Lincoln
Saturday, November 16 at 12.30pm in League One
Last Game: Birmingham 1-1 Northampton
Saturday, November 9 at 3pm in League One
Next Game: Shrewsbury vs. Birmingham
Saturday, November 23 at 12.30pm in League One

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Birmingham City win with a probability of 45.89%. A win for Exeter City has a probability of 29.48% and a draw has a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Birmingham City win is 0-1 with a probability of 9.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (9.29%) and 0-2 (7.52%). The likeliest Exeter City win is 1-0 (7.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.59%).

Result
Exeter CityDrawBirmingham City
29.48% (1.312 1.31) 24.62% (-0.349 -0.35) 45.89% (-0.961 -0.96)
Both teams to score 56.62% (2.041 2.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.92% (2.278 2.28)46.08% (-2.274 -2.27)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.62% (2.117 2.12)68.38% (-2.114 -2.11)
Exeter City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.92% (2.117 2.12)29.07% (-2.113 -2.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.01% (2.535 2.54)64.99% (-2.533 -2.53)
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.83% (0.51300000000001 0.51)20.17% (-0.51 -0.51)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.55% (0.812 0.81)52.45% (-0.809 -0.81)
Score Analysis
    Exeter City 29.48%
    Birmingham City 45.9%
    Draw 24.62%
Exeter CityDrawBirmingham City
1-0 @ 7.24% (-0.271 -0.27)
2-1 @ 7.16% (0.264 0.26)
2-0 @ 4.47% (0.096 0.1)
3-1 @ 2.95% (0.27 0.27)
3-2 @ 2.36% (0.249 0.25)
3-0 @ 1.84% (0.142 0.14)
4-1 @ 0.91% (0.131 0.13)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 29.48%
1-1 @ 11.59% (-0.25 -0.25)
0-0 @ 5.86% (-0.585 -0.59)
2-2 @ 5.74% (0.298 0.3)
3-3 @ 1.26% (0.15 0.15)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 24.62%
0-1 @ 9.39% (-0.772 -0.77)
1-2 @ 9.29% (-0.048 -0.05)
0-2 @ 7.52% (-0.494 -0.49)
1-3 @ 4.96% (0.052 0.05)
0-3 @ 4.01% (-0.197 -0.2)
2-3 @ 3.06% (0.204 0.2)
1-4 @ 1.98% (0.052 0.05)
0-4 @ 1.61% (-0.053 -0.05)
2-4 @ 1.23% (0.099 0.1)
Other @ 2.86%
Total : 45.9%

Form Guide
Last Game: Exeter 1-0 Charlton
Saturday, November 9 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Exeter 5-3 Barnet
Saturday, November 2 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Bristol Rovers 2-3 Exeter
Tuesday, October 29 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Huddersfield 2-0 Exeter
Saturday, October 26 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Exeter 1-2 Reading
Tuesday, October 22 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Shrewsbury 0-2 Exeter
Thursday, October 17 at 8pm in League One
Last Game: Birmingham 1-1 Northampton
Saturday, November 9 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Sutton 0-1 Birmingham
Sunday, November 3 at 12.30pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Birmingham 7-1 Fulham U21s
Tuesday, October 29 at 7.45pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Mansfield 1-1 Birmingham
Saturday, October 26 at 12.30pm in League One
Last Game: Birmingham 2-0 Bolton
Tuesday, October 22 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Lincoln 1-3 Birmingham
Saturday, October 19 at 3pm in League One


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