Exeter have shown some good signs at home in recent weeks, especially defensively where they have kept consecutive clean sheets.
Meanwhile, Birmingham are starting to show some cracks and have conceded four goals in their last two matches, but we believe that the visitors have what it takes to get a result here, which is why we are predicting a draw.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Birmingham City win with a probability of 45.2%. A win for Exeter City had a probability of 29.16% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Birmingham City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.14%) and 0-2 (7.93%). The likeliest Exeter City win was 1-0 (8.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.18%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Birmingham City would win this match.
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