Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Birmingham City win with a probability of 77.24%. A draw had a probability of 14.4% and a win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 8.39%.
The most likely scoreline for a Birmingham City win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (10.27%) and 0-1 (8.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.77%), while for a Shrewsbury Town win it was 1-0 (2.58%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Shrewsbury Town | Draw | Birmingham City |
8.39% ( 0.07) | 14.37% ( 0.1) | 77.24% ( -0.16) |
Both teams to score 49.06% ( -0.07) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
65.49% ( -0.25) | 34.51% ( 0.25) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
43.56% ( -0.28) | 56.44% ( 0.28) |
Shrewsbury Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
52.91% ( -0.03) | 47.08% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
17.45% ( -0.02) | 82.55% ( 0.02) |
Birmingham City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
92.71% ( -0.09) | 7.29% ( 0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
73.63% ( -0.23) | 26.37% ( 0.23) |
Score Analysis |
Shrewsbury Town | Draw | Birmingham City |
1-0 @ 2.58% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 2.55% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 0.97% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.28% Total : 8.39% | 1-1 @ 6.77% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 3.43% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 3.34% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.83% Total : 14.37% | 0-2 @ 11.76% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 10.27% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 8.99% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 8.86% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 7.74% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 6.73% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 5.07% ( -0.03) 0-5 @ 3.52% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 2.91% ( -0.01) 1-5 @ 2.65% ( -0.03) 2-4 @ 1.91% ( -0.01) 0-6 @ 1.54% ( -0.02) 1-6 @ 1.16% ( -0.02) 2-5 @ 1% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.12% Total : 77.23% |
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