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League One | Gameweek 17
Nov 23, 2024 at 12.30pm UK
Montgomery Waters Meadow
BL

Shrewsbury
3 - 2
Birmingham

Pierre (31'), Marquis (38'), Bloxham (55')
Marquis (20'), Pierre (90+7'), Castledine (90+7')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Iwata (44'), Stansfield (75' pen.)
Anderson (30')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Walsall 3-0 Shrewsbury
Tuesday, November 12 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Birmingham 1-1 Northampton
Saturday, November 9 at 3pm in League One

We said: Shrewsbury Town 0-3 Birmingham City

Under the influence of new manager Ainsworth, Shrewsbury should be raring to put up a fight on Saturday despite a disrupted week of training due to wintry conditions in Shropshire. Birmingham are overwhelming favourites heading into this clash and should have more than enough quality on the pitch and in reserve to earn a comfortable victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Birmingham City win with a probability of 77.24%. A draw had a probability of 14.4% and a win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 8.39%.

The most likely scoreline for a Birmingham City win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (10.27%) and 0-1 (8.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.77%), while for a Shrewsbury Town win it was 1-0 (2.58%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.

Result
Shrewsbury TownDrawBirmingham City
8.39% (0.066000000000001 0.07) 14.37% (0.096 0.1) 77.24% (-0.164 -0.16)
Both teams to score 49.06% (-0.07 -0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.49% (-0.248 -0.25)34.51% (0.246 0.25)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.56% (-0.279 -0.28)56.44% (0.278 0.28)
Shrewsbury Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.91% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)47.08% (0.025999999999996 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.45% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)82.55% (0.016999999999996 0.02)
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.71% (-0.087000000000003 -0.09)7.29% (0.085999999999999 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
73.63% (-0.23099999999999 -0.23)26.37% (0.23 0.23)
Score Analysis
    Shrewsbury Town 8.39%
    Birmingham City 77.23%
    Draw 14.37%
Shrewsbury TownDrawBirmingham City
1-0 @ 2.58% (0.03 0.03)
2-1 @ 2.55% (0.017 0.02)
2-0 @ 0.97% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 8.39%
1-1 @ 6.77% (0.05 0.05)
0-0 @ 3.43% (0.043 0.04)
2-2 @ 3.34% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Other @ 0.83%
Total : 14.37%
0-2 @ 11.76% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
0-3 @ 10.27% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-1 @ 8.99% (0.072000000000001 0.07)
1-2 @ 8.86% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
1-3 @ 7.74% (-0.015 -0.01)
0-4 @ 6.73% (-0.039 -0.04)
1-4 @ 5.07% (-0.032999999999999 -0.03)
0-5 @ 3.52% (-0.037 -0.04)
2-3 @ 2.91% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-5 @ 2.65% (-0.03 -0.03)
2-4 @ 1.91% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-6 @ 1.54% (-0.023 -0.02)
1-6 @ 1.16% (-0.018 -0.02)
2-5 @ 1% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 3.12%
Total : 77.23%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Walsall 3-0 Shrewsbury
Tuesday, November 12 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Burton Albion 2-0 Shrewsbury
Saturday, November 9 at 12.30pm in League One
Last Game: Salford City 2-1 Shrewsbury
Saturday, November 2 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Shrewsbury 0-2 Barnsley
Saturday, October 26 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Bristol Rovers 1-0 Shrewsbury
Tuesday, October 22 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Shrewsbury 0-2 Exeter
Thursday, October 17 at 8pm in League One
Last Game: Birmingham 1-1 Northampton
Saturday, November 9 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Sutton 0-1 Birmingham
Sunday, November 3 at 12.30pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Birmingham 7-1 Fulham U21s
Tuesday, October 29 at 7.45pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Mansfield 1-1 Birmingham
Saturday, October 26 at 12.30pm in League One
Last Game: Birmingham 2-0 Bolton
Tuesday, October 22 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Lincoln 1-3 Birmingham
Saturday, October 19 at 3pm in League One


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