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League One | Gameweek 40
Apr 16, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Fratton Park
B

Portsmouth
3 - 2
Barnsley

Yengi (9'), Bishop (83' pen.), Shaughnessy (89')
Evans (74')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Cole (6'), McAtee (59')
Durand de Gevigney (75')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bolton 1-1 Portsmouth
Saturday, April 13 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Barnsley 2-2 Reading
Saturday, April 13 at 3pm in League One

We said: Portsmouth 2-2 Barnsley

Portsmouth have seen two of their last three matches finish all square, and after drawing their previous two home games against Barnsley, we think that they will settle for the point that would secure promotion to the Championship. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 43.55%. A win for Barnsley had a probability of 33.06% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.19%) and 2-0 (6.13%). The likeliest Barnsley win was 1-2 (7.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.5%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Portsmouth would win this match.

Result
PortsmouthDrawBarnsley
43.55% (-0.846 -0.85) 23.39% (-0.175 -0.17) 33.06% (1.025 1.03)
Both teams to score 62.83% (1.093 1.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.28% (1.251 1.25)38.71% (-1.247 -1.25)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.98% (1.306 1.31)61.02% (-1.302 -1.3)
Portsmouth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.82% (0.157 0.16)18.17% (-0.153 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.84% (0.265 0.27)49.16% (-0.262 -0.26)
Barnsley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.78% (1.192 1.19)23.21% (-1.189 -1.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.88% (1.71 1.71)57.12% (-1.706 -1.71)
Score Analysis
    Portsmouth 43.55%
    Barnsley 33.06%
    Draw 23.38%
PortsmouthDrawBarnsley
2-1 @ 8.96% (-0.123 -0.12)
1-0 @ 7.19% (-0.395 -0.4)
2-0 @ 6.13% (-0.304 -0.3)
3-1 @ 5.09% (-0.044 -0.04)
3-2 @ 3.72% (0.096 0.1)
3-0 @ 3.49% (-0.155 -0.16)
4-1 @ 2.17% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.59% (0.048 0.05)
4-0 @ 1.49% (-0.059 -0.06)
Other @ 3.72%
Total : 43.55%
1-1 @ 10.5% (-0.2 -0.2)
2-2 @ 6.54% (0.137 0.14)
0-0 @ 4.22% (-0.253 -0.25)
3-3 @ 1.81% (0.107 0.11)
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 23.38%
1-2 @ 7.67% (0.123 0.12)
0-1 @ 6.16% (-0.147 -0.15)
0-2 @ 4.5% (0.05 0.05)
1-3 @ 3.73% (0.185 0.19)
2-3 @ 3.18% (0.173 0.17)
0-3 @ 2.19% (0.099 0.1)
1-4 @ 1.36% (0.112 0.11)
2-4 @ 1.16% (0.1 0.1)
Other @ 3.1%
Total : 33.06%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Bolton 1-1 Portsmouth
Saturday, April 13 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Portsmouth 3-1 Shrewsbury
Saturday, April 6 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Portsmouth 2-2 Derby
Tuesday, April 2 at 8pm in League One
Last Game: Wycombe 1-3 Portsmouth
Friday, March 29 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Peterborough 0-1 Portsmouth
Saturday, March 16 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Portsmouth 2-1 Burton Albion
Tuesday, March 12 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Barnsley 2-2 Reading
Saturday, April 13 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Stevenage 2-1 Barnsley
Tuesday, April 9 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Charlton 2-1 Barnsley
Saturday, April 6 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Burton Albion 1-3 Barnsley
Monday, April 1 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Barnsley 0-2 Cambridge
Friday, March 29 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Barnsley 0-0 Cheltenham
Saturday, March 16 at 3pm in League One


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