Portsmouth have seen two of their last three matches finish all square, and after drawing their previous two home games against Barnsley, we think that they will settle for the point that would secure promotion to the Championship.
Read more.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 43.55%. A win for Barnsley had a probability of 33.06% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.19%) and 2-0 (6.13%). The likeliest Barnsley win was 1-2 (7.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.5%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Portsmouth would win this match.
-0.85) 
1.03) 
