Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wigan Athletic win with a probability of 54.93%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Bolton Wanderers had a probability of 21.01%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wigan Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.21%) and 2-1 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.43%), while for a Bolton Wanderers win it was 0-1 (6.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.