Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
8 | Oxford United | 46 | 23 | 76 |
9 | Bolton Wanderers | 46 | 17 | 73 |
10 | Portsmouth | 46 | 17 | 73 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
11 | Ipswich Town | 46 | 21 | 70 |
12 | Accrington Stanley | 46 | -19 | 61 |
13 | Charlton Athletic | 46 | -4 | 59 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 61.48%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 16.95%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.99%) and 2-1 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.25%), while for an Accrington Stanley win it was 0-1 (5.32%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bolton Wanderers would win this match.
Result | ||
Bolton Wanderers | Draw | Accrington Stanley |
61.48% | 21.57% | 16.95% |
Both teams to score 50.71% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.73% | 46.27% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.44% | 68.56% |
Bolton Wanderers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.47% | 14.53% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
57.44% | 42.56% |
Accrington Stanley Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.33% | 40.67% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.74% | 77.26% |
Score Analysis |
Bolton Wanderers | Draw | Accrington Stanley |
1-0 @ 11.39% 2-0 @ 10.99% 2-1 @ 9.89% 3-0 @ 7.07% 3-1 @ 6.36% 4-0 @ 3.41% 4-1 @ 3.07% 3-2 @ 2.86% 4-2 @ 1.38% 5-0 @ 1.32% 5-1 @ 1.18% Other @ 2.55% Total : 61.47% | 1-1 @ 10.25% 0-0 @ 5.91% 2-2 @ 4.45% Other @ 0.96% Total : 21.57% | 0-1 @ 5.32% 1-2 @ 4.61% 0-2 @ 2.39% 1-3 @ 1.38% 2-3 @ 1.33% Other @ 1.91% Total : 16.95% |
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