With just three games left to play, a place in the playoffs is now unattainable for Bolton and they will now look to close out the season on a high. They go up against an Accrington Stanley side who have struggled to get going on the road, picking up 16 points from a possible 63 so far. We predict the hosts will come out victorious on Monday, albeit by a slender margin. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 61.48%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 16.95%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.99%) and 2-1 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.25%), while for an Accrington Stanley win it was 0-1 (5.32%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bolton Wanderers would win this match.

Result
Bolton Wanderers	Draw	Accrington Stanley
61.48%	21.57%	16.95%

Both teams to score 50.71%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.73%

46.27%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.44%

68.56%

Bolton Wanderers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.47%

14.53%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.44%

42.56%

Accrington Stanley Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.33%

40.67%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.74%

77.26%

Score Analysis

Bolton Wanderers 61.47%

Accrington Stanley 16.95%

Draw 21.57%

Bolton Wanderers	Draw	Accrington Stanley
1-0 @ 11.39% 2-0 @ 10.99% 2-1 @ 9.89% 3-0 @ 7.07% 3-1 @ 6.36% 4-0 @ 3.41% 4-1 @ 3.07% 3-2 @ 2.86% 4-2 @ 1.38% 5-0 @ 1.32% 5-1 @ 1.18% Other @ 2.55% Total : 61.47%	1-1 @ 10.25% 0-0 @ 5.91% 2-2 @ 4.45% Other @ 0.96% Total : 21.57%	0-1 @ 5.32% 1-2 @ 4.61% 0-2 @ 2.39% 1-3 @ 1.38% 2-3 @ 1.33% Other @ 1.91% Total : 16.95%