Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fleetwood Town win with a probability of 51.67%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 23.32%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fleetwood Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.63%) and 2-1 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.87%), while for an Accrington Stanley win it was 0-1 (7.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.
