Gillingham and Fleetwood Town have endured an underwhelming campaign this season and now risk dropping into the fourth tier. Given the stakes of Monday's game, we predict the honours will be shared as we expect both sides to take a cautious approach in a bid to avoid defeat.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gillingham win with a probability of 37.47%. A win for Fleetwood Town had a probability of 35.79% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gillingham win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.19%) and 2-0 (6.54%). The likeliest Fleetwood Town win was 0-1 (9.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.71%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
