Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 58.58%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Fleetwood Town had a probability of 17.89%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.48%) and 2-1 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.11%), while for a Fleetwood Town win it was 0-1 (6.42%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bolton Wanderers would win this match.
0.1) 
-0.02) 
