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League One | Gameweek 4
Aug 16, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
University of Bolton Stadium
M

Bolton
1 - 0
Morecambe

Bradley (39')
Bradley (90+5')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Melbourne (23')
Coverage of the League One clash between Bolton Wanderers and Morecambe.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 63.23%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Morecambe had a probability of 16.16%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.64%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.76%), while for a Morecambe win it was 0-1 (4.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bolton Wanderers would win this match.

Result
Bolton WanderersDrawMorecambe
63.23% (-0.136 -0.14) 20.61% (0.068999999999999 0.07) 16.16% (0.067999999999998 0.07)
Both teams to score 52.17% (-0.080999999999996 -0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.54% (-0.187 -0.19)43.46% (0.187 0.19)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.14% (-0.182 -0.18)65.86% (0.184 0.18)
Bolton Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.9% (-0.096000000000004 -0.1)13.1% (0.097 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.26% (-0.198 -0.2)39.74% (0.2 0.2)
Morecambe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.03% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)39.97% (0.027999999999999 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.38% (-0.026 -0.03)76.62% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Bolton Wanderers 63.23%
    Morecambe 16.16%
    Draw 20.61%
Bolton WanderersDrawMorecambe
2-0 @ 10.81% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-0 @ 10.64% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
2-1 @ 9.92% (0.0010000000000012 0)
3-0 @ 7.33% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
3-1 @ 6.72% (-0.024 -0.02)
4-0 @ 3.72% (-0.024 -0.02)
4-1 @ 3.41% (-0.025 -0.02)
3-2 @ 3.08% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.57% (-0.013 -0.01)
5-0 @ 1.51% (-0.015 -0.02)
5-1 @ 1.39% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 3.13%
Total : 63.23%
1-1 @ 9.76% (0.037000000000001 0.04)
0-0 @ 5.24% (0.042 0.04)
2-2 @ 4.55% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-3 @ 0.94% (-0.005 -0.01)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 20.61%
0-1 @ 4.8% (0.036 0.04)
1-2 @ 4.48% (0.013 0.01)
0-2 @ 2.2% (0.015 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.39% (-0.002 -0)
1-3 @ 1.37% (0.004 0)
Other @ 1.92%
Total : 16.16%

Read more!
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Form Guide
Last Game: Port Vale 0-0 Bolton
Saturday, August 13 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Bolton 5-1 Salford City
Tuesday, August 9 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Bolton 3-0 Wycombe
Saturday, August 6 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Ipswich 1-1 Bolton
Saturday, July 30 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Bolton 1-1 Huddersfield
Saturday, July 23 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Watford 0-2 Bolton
Tuesday, July 12 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Morecambe 1-1 Fleetwood
Saturday, August 13 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Morecambe 0-0 Stoke (5-4 pen.)
Tuesday, August 9 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Peterborough 3-0 Morecambe
Saturday, August 6 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Morecambe 0-0 Shrewsbury
Saturday, July 30 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Morecambe 0-3 Middlesbrough
Tuesday, July 19 at 7pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Huddersfield 3-1 Morecambe
Tuesday, July 12 at 2pm in Club Friendlies 1


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