Bolton will be in a downbeat mood after losing three consecutive matches, and we think that their lack of confidence may present Reading with an opportunity to take a useful point from Saturday's away fixture. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 43.61%. A win for Reading had a probability of 32.13% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.33%) and 2-0 (6.71%). The likeliest Reading win was 1-2 (7.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.25%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bolton Wanderers would win this match.

Result
Bolton Wanderers	Draw	Reading
43.61% ( -0.01)	24.25% ( 0)	32.13% ( 0)

Both teams to score 59.31% (

-0)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.84% (

-0.01)

43.16% (

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.44% (

-0.01)

65.56% (

Bolton Wanderers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.04% (

-0.01)

19.96% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.88% (

-0.01)

52.12% (

0.01)

Reading Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.1% (

-0)

25.89% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.12%

60.88% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Bolton Wanderers 43.61%

Reading 32.13%

Draw 24.25%

Bolton Wanderers	Draw	Reading
2-1 @ 9.07% ( -0) 1-0 @ 8.33% ( 0) 2-0 @ 6.71% ( -0) 3-1 @ 4.87% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.61% 3-2 @ 3.29% 4-1 @ 1.96% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.45% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.33% Other @ 3% Total : 43.61%	1-1 @ 11.25% 2-2 @ 6.13% 0-0 @ 5.17% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.48% Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.25%	1-2 @ 7.6% 0-1 @ 6.98% ( 0) 0-2 @ 4.72% 1-3 @ 3.42% 2-3 @ 2.76% 0-3 @ 2.13% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.16% 2-4 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.43% Total : 32.13%