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League One | Gameweek 7
Sep 21, 2024 at 3pm UK
University of Bolton Stadium
RL

Bolton
5 - 2
Reading

Sheehan (12'), Charles (21' pen., 34', 45+4' pen.), Dempsey (87')
Santos (16'), Baxter (81'), Williams (88'), Arfield (90+1')
FT(HT: 4-1)
Elliott (41'), Smith (57' pen.)
Wing (11'), Knibbs (71')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bolton 0-4 Huddersfield
Saturday, September 14 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Reading 0-1 Leyton Orient
Saturday, September 14 at 3pm in League One

We said: Bolton Wanderers 1-1 Reading

Bolton will be in a downbeat mood after losing three consecutive matches, and we think that their lack of confidence may present Reading with an opportunity to take a useful point from Saturday's away fixture. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 43.61%. A win for Reading had a probability of 32.13% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.33%) and 2-0 (6.71%). The likeliest Reading win was 1-2 (7.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.25%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bolton Wanderers would win this match.

Result
Bolton WanderersDrawReading
43.61% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01) 24.25% (0.0030000000000001 0) 32.13% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Both teams to score 59.31% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.84% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)43.16% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.44% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)65.56% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Bolton Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.04% (-0.0050000000000097 -0.01)19.96% (0.0040000000000013 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.88% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)52.12% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Reading Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.1% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)25.89% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.12%60.88% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Score Analysis
    Bolton Wanderers 43.61%
    Reading 32.13%
    Draw 24.25%
Bolton WanderersDrawReading
2-1 @ 9.07% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-0 @ 8.33% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 6.71% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-1 @ 4.87% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-0 @ 3.61%
3-2 @ 3.29%
4-1 @ 1.96% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 1.45% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 1.33%
Other @ 3%
Total : 43.61%
1-1 @ 11.25%
2-2 @ 6.13%
0-0 @ 5.17% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-3 @ 1.48%
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 24.25%
1-2 @ 7.6%
0-1 @ 6.98% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-2 @ 4.72%
1-3 @ 3.42%
2-3 @ 2.76%
0-3 @ 2.13% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 1.16%
2-4 @ 0.93%
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 32.13%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Bolton 0-4 Huddersfield
Saturday, September 14 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Barrow 2-3 Bolton
Tuesday, September 3 at 7.45pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Bolton 0-2 Exeter
Saturday, August 31 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Shrewsbury 0-2 Bolton
Tuesday, August 27 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Charlton 2-0 Bolton
Saturday, August 24 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Bolton 0-0 Wrexham
Sunday, August 18 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Reading 0-1 Leyton Orient
Saturday, September 14 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Reading 2-0 Charlton
Saturday, August 31 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Wrexham 3-0 Reading
Saturday, August 24 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Reading 3-1 West Ham U21s
Tuesday, August 20 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Reading 2-0 Wigan
Saturday, August 17 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Colchester 2-2 Reading (4-3 pen.)
Tuesday, August 13 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup


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