Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 42.19%. A win for Barrow had a probability of 30.55% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.58%) and 0-2 (7.87%). The likeliest Barrow win was 1-0 (9.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.88%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bolton Wanderers would win this match.
-0.23) 
0.22) 
