SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnsley win with a probability of 46.67%. A win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 27.49% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barnsley win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.19%) and 0-2 (8.47%). The likeliest Cheltenham Town win was 1-0 (8.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.28%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Barnsley would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Cheltenham Town | Draw | Barnsley |
27.49% ( 0.01) | 25.84% ( 0.01) | 46.67% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 51.38% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.69% ( -0.02) | 52.31% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.99% ( -0.02) | 74% ( 0.01) |
| Cheltenham Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.21% | 33.78% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 29.55% ( -0) | 70.44% ( -0) |
| Barnsley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.6% ( -0.02) | 22.4% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 44.09% ( -0.02) | 55.91% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Cheltenham Town | Draw | Barnsley |
| 1-0 @ 8.21% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 6.67% ( 0)2-0 @ 4.46% ( 0)3-1 @ 2.41% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.8% ( -0)3-0 @ 1.61% ( 0)Other @ 2.33% Total : 27.49% | 1-1 @ 12.28% 0-0 @ 7.57% ( 0)2-2 @ 4.99% ( -0)Other @ 1% Total : 25.83% | 0-1 @ 11.32% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 9.19% ( -0)0-2 @ 8.47% ( -0)1-3 @ 4.58% ( -0)0-3 @ 4.22% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.49% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.72% ( -0)0-4 @ 1.58% ( -0)2-4 @ 0.93% ( -0)Other @ 2.17% Total : 46.67% |
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